Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account posts for March 20-27, 2026, favors 20-39 (36.4%) and under 20 (33%), driven by his steady historical weekly average of roughly 25-35 items, including statements, speeches, and policy graphics. This close race reflects low volatility in posting cadence amid Iran's internal stability and routine Supreme Leader communications. Nowruz holidays overlapping the period could suppress volume, tightening low-end odds. Potential separation arises from verified health updates lowering output, or escalations in nuclear negotiations, Israel tensions, or domestic elections prompting more frequent addresses—events traders monitor closely for shifts in skin-in-the-game probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKhamenei # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
Khamenei # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
20-39 35.4%
<20 33%
40-59 21.0%
160-179 5.6%
<20
33%
20-39
35%
40-59
21%
60-79
4%
80-99
3%
100-119
3%
120-139
5%
140-159
2%
160-179
6%
180-199
2%
200+
2%
20-39 35.4%
<20 33%
40-59 21.0%
160-179 5.6%
<20
33%
20-39
35%
40-59
21%
60-79
4%
80-99
3%
100-119
3%
120-139
5%
140-159
2%
160-179
6%
180-199
2%
200+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account posts for March 20-27, 2026, favors 20-39 (36.4%) and under 20 (33%), driven by his steady historical weekly average of roughly 25-35 items, including statements, speeches, and policy graphics. This close race reflects low volatility in posting cadence amid Iran's internal stability and routine Supreme Leader communications. Nowruz holidays overlapping the period could suppress volume, tightening low-end odds. Potential separation arises from verified health updates lowering output, or escalations in nuclear negotiations, Israel tensions, or domestic elections prompting more frequent addresses—events traders monitor closely for shifts in skin-in-the-game probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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