Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest odds for Donald Trump posting 80-99 times on Truth Social during March 20-27, 2026 (30.5%), closely trailed by 100-119 (25.5%), reflecting his historical average of 10-15 daily posts amid campaign and post-election activity in 2024. This tight clustering stems from steady patterns observed in recent months, where Trump used the platform for policy updates, rally announcements, and responses to media coverage, averaging over 100 posts weekly during peak periods like the Republican National Convention and legal proceedings. Uncertainties around his 2026 presidential schedule—potentially including legislative pushes or international summits—keep probabilities bunched, but catalysts like court rulings or diplomatic tensions could spike volume toward 120+, widening the spread as traders reassess based on real-time habits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated80-99 32%
100-119 26%
60-79 16%
120-139 12%
$17,753 Vol.
$17,753 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
16%
80-99
32%
100-119
26%
120-139
12%
140-159
9%
160-179
6%
180-199
1%
200+
2%
80-99 32%
100-119 26%
60-79 16%
120-139 12%
$17,753 Vol.
$17,753 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
16%
80-99
32%
100-119
26%
120-139
12%
140-159
9%
160-179
6%
180-199
1%
200+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest odds for Donald Trump posting 80-99 times on Truth Social during March 20-27, 2026 (30.5%), closely trailed by 100-119 (25.5%), reflecting his historical average of 10-15 daily posts amid campaign and post-election activity in 2024. This tight clustering stems from steady patterns observed in recent months, where Trump used the platform for policy updates, rally announcements, and responses to media coverage, averaging over 100 posts weekly during peak periods like the Republican National Convention and legal proceedings. Uncertainties around his 2026 presidential schedule—potentially including legislative pushes or international summits—keep probabilities bunched, but catalysts like court rulings or diplomatic tensions could spike volume toward 120+, widening the spread as traders reassess based on real-time habits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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