Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
US Politics·Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

1%

May 14

$2M Vol.

$192K Liq.

35

Ends in 2 months

Will the next elected US president be a woman?
US Politics·Politics

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

19%

$9.6K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
US Politics·Politics

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$210K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028
US Politics·Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$401M Vol.

$4M today

$26M Liq.

726

Ends in over 2 years

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
US Politics·Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

11%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$277K today

$274K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
US Politics·Politics

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

56%

Democratic

$1M Vol.

$707K Liq.

56

Ends in over 2 years

US x Russia military clash by...?
US Politics·Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$573K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

13

Ends in 10 months

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
US Politics·Politics

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

75%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$272K today

$306K Liq.

42

Ends in 17 days

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
US Politics·Politics

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%

≤47

$792K Vol.

$246K today

$169K Liq.

4

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
US Politics·Politics

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$110K today

$509K Liq.

125

Ends in 8 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
US Politics·Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

51%

Democratic Party

$864K Vol.

$86.4K today

$341K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
US Politics·Politics

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

33%

Democrats 6-8%

$25.5K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?
US Politics·Politics

Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

4%

↓ 10%

$169K Vol.

$83.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
US Politics·Politics

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

Below 190

$8.1K Vol.

$66.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
US Politics·Politics

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

29%

December 31, 2026

$85.8K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 10 months

Blue wave in 2026?
US Politics·Politics

Blue wave in 2026?

74%

$23.2K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Blue tsunami in 2026?
US Politics·Politics

Blue tsunami in 2026?

46%

$19.1K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?
US Politics·Politics

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

1%

March 31

$41.0K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
US Politics·Politics

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

$54.3K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout
US Politics·Politics

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

37%

85-90m

$0 Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Politics.

Polymarket currently hosts 417 active markets for US Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $416.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Blue wave in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Politics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.