2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

32%

Democrats 6-8%

$25.5K Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?

Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?

93%

Dems

$7.3K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Mov·Movies

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

86%

Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere

$105K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)
Mov·Sports

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

66%

Movsar Evloev

$24.2K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Mov·Movies

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

98%

War Machine

$12.0K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Mov·Movies

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

99%

War Machine

$27.4K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Mov·Movies

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

41%

Jobs

$12.6K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Highest grossing movie this weekend (March 13)

Highest grossing movie this weekend (March 13)

99%

Hoppers

$27.0K Vol.

$39.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
Mov·Movies

Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?

92%

The Odyssey

$31 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Mov·Movies

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

76%

Avengers: Doomsday

$1M Vol.

$204K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Mov·Crypto

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

9%

$2M Vol.

$179K Liq.

23

Ends in 10 months

Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Mov·Movies

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

43%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

$1M Vol.

$671K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?
Mov·Sports

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

56%

$1.9K Vol.

$314 Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will FaZe make a roster move before May?
Mov·Sports

Will FaZe make a roster move before May?

94%

$19 Vol.

$42 Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Oscars 2026: Best Film Editing Winner
Mov·Awards

Oscars 2026: Best Film Editing Winner

82%

One Battle After Another

$1M Vol.

$209K today

$69.7K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

"Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office

"Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office

63%

19-22m

$178K Vol.

$60.5K today

$115K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Oscars 2026: Best Cinematography Winner
Mov·Awards

Oscars 2026: Best Cinematography Winner

76%

One Battle After Another

$2M Vol.

$54.4K today

$143K Liq.

9

Ends in about 9 hours

"Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office

"Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office

53%

9-10m

$107K Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

"Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office

"Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office

16%

75-80m

$41.3K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

"Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office

"Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office

34%

7.5-8m

$11.0K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Mov.

Polymarket currently hosts 220 active markets for Mov that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Oscars 2026: Best Cinematography Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Oscars 2026: Best Cinematography Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 76% chance to One Battle After Another. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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