Middle East Odds &amp; Predictions | Polymarket

June 30

99%

$34M Vol.

Weekly

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

March 15

Yes6%No94%

March 31

32%

Yes32%No68%

$18M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

chance

Yes

$29M Vol.

Monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

23%

chance

Yes

$14M Vol.

Monthly

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

March 15

March 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

$3M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

12%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

Saudi Arabia

19%

Yes19%No81%

UAE

18%

Yes18%No82%

$6M Vol.

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

100%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

March 15

Yes9%No91%

March 31

47%

Yes47%No53%

$1M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

March 31

Yes2%No98%

June 30

17%

$7M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

33%

chance

Yes

$9M Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

57%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu

59%

Yes59%No41%

Naftali Bennett

26%

Yes26%No74%

$2M Vol.

Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

12%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Daily

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by...? card icon

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

<1%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

14%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Monthly

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

23%

Yes23%No77%

$2M Vol.

Daily

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

38%

Yes38%No62%

Reza Pahlavi

17%

$2M Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

March 31

Yes1%No99%

December 31

11%

Yes11%No89%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

12%

chance

Yes

$1M Vol.

Monthly

All

Iran

Oil

Ukraine

Venezuela

Ukraine Peace Deal

Ukraine Map

Gaza

Israel

Sudan

China

Thailand-Cambodia

Middle East

Foreign Policy

India-Pakistan

South Korea

Yemen

Syria

Turkey

Middle East

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

March 31

99%

June 30

99%

$34M Vol.

Weekly

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

March 15

Yes6%No94%

March 31

32%

Yes32%No68%

$18M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

chance

Yes

$29M Vol.

Monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

23%

chance

Yes

$14M Vol.

Monthly

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

March 15

March 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

$3M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

12%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

Saudi Arabia

19%

Yes19%No81%

UAE

18%

Yes18%No82%

$6M Vol.

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

100%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

March 15

Yes9%No91%

March 31

47%

Yes47%No53%

$1M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

March 31

Yes2%No98%

June 30

17%

$7M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

33%

chance

Yes

$9M Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

57%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu

59%

Yes59%No41%

Naftali Bennett

26%

Yes26%No74%

$2M Vol.

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

12%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Daily

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

<1%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

14%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Monthly

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

23%

Yes23%No77%

$2M Vol.

Daily

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

38%

Yes38%No62%

Reza Pahlavi

17%