Trader sentiment on White House full lid calls by 6:30 PM ET from March 23-28 hinges on President Biden's public schedule, with early lids common absent evening events like dinners or travel. Recent pool reports show lids typically after 5 PM on lighter days, but delayed by late briefings or overseas calls, as seen in mid-March patterns averaging 6:45 PM. Key drivers include daily guidance updates around noon ET; March 24 features a 4 PM Cabinet meeting potentially pushing lid later, while March 26-27 involve potential NC visits. No confirmed late events yet, tilting odds toward yes on quieter days, though unannounced changes remain a risk factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMarch 23
44%
March 24
44%
March 25
44%
March 26
44%
March 27
24%
March 28
44%
$200 Vol.
March 23
44%
March 24
44%
March 25
44%
March 26
44%
March 27
24%
March 28
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on White House full lid calls by 6:30 PM ET from March 23-28 hinges on President Biden's public schedule, with early lids common absent evening events like dinners or travel. Recent pool reports show lids typically after 5 PM on lighter days, but delayed by late briefings or overseas calls, as seen in mid-March patterns averaging 6:45 PM. Key drivers include daily guidance updates around noon ET; March 24 features a 4 PM Cabinet meeting potentially pushing lid later, while March 26-27 involve potential NC visits. No confirmed late events yet, tilting odds toward yes on quieter days, though unannounced changes remain a risk factor.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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