Market icon
Politics·Iran

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

Market icon
Politics·Iran

Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?

$59,727 Vol.

Mar 21, 2026
Polymarket

$59,727 Vol.

Polymarket

March 19, 2026

$9,269 Vol.

66%

March 20, 2026

$14,398 Vol.

71%

March 21

$0 Vol.

69%

March 22

$0 Vol.

56%

March 23

$0 Vol.

59%

March 24

$0 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Volume
$59,727
End Date
Mar 21, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 16, 2026, 5:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Mojtaba Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Mojtaba Khamenei's official X profile: https://x.com/mkhamenei_ir. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "no" for Mojtaba Khamenei tweeting, reflecting his long-standing absence from public social media platforms like X (formerly Twitter), with no verified account or posting history ever confirmed. As the reclusive second son of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, he maintains extreme privacy amid speculation over succession following President Raisi's May 2024 death in a helicopter crash. Recent Iranian state media and diplomatic tensions, including nuclear talks and regional conflicts, show no shift toward digital engagement from Khamenei figures. Upcoming events like potential leadership transitions or elections could indirectly influence visibility, but his profile suggests negligible odds of sudden tweeting activity.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "March 18, 2026" at 100%, followed by "March 20, 2026" at 71%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" has generated $59.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" is "March 18, 2026" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 20, 2026" at 71%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.