Trader consensus on White House X post counts for March 24-31, 2026, shows even 40.5% implied probabilities across all ranges from under 20 to over 200, reflecting deep uncertainty about the incoming Trump administration's official @WhiteHouse account activity. With Trump set to take office in January 2025 after his 2024 election win, historical patterns offer limited guidance: his first term saw higher volumes than Biden's roughly 30-50 weekly posts amid policy announcements and events, but managed accounts differ from personal styles. The race stays tight due to unpredictable news cycles, potential crises, or communication shifts, with no fixed calendar events that week; separation could emerge from early 2025 posting trends, cabinet social media directives, or major legislative pushes altering volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhite House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
<20 50%
80-99 41%
100-119 41%
120-139 41%
<20
50%
20-39
1%
40-59
24%
60-79
40%
80-99
41%
100-119
41%
120-139
41%
140-159
40%
160-179
41%
180-199
40%
200+
40%
<20 50%
80-99 41%
100-119 41%
120-139 41%
<20
50%
20-39
1%
40-59
24%
60-79
40%
80-99
41%
100-119
41%
120-139
41%
140-159
40%
160-179
41%
180-199
40%
200+
40%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on White House X post counts for March 24-31, 2026, shows even 40.5% implied probabilities across all ranges from under 20 to over 200, reflecting deep uncertainty about the incoming Trump administration's official @WhiteHouse account activity. With Trump set to take office in January 2025 after his 2024 election win, historical patterns offer limited guidance: his first term saw higher volumes than Biden's roughly 30-50 weekly posts amid policy announcements and events, but managed accounts differ from personal styles. The race stays tight due to unpredictable news cycles, potential crises, or communication shifts, with no fixed calendar events that week; separation could emerge from early 2025 posting trends, cabinet social media directives, or major legislative pushes altering volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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