Middle East

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

March 31

100%

Yes100%No<1%

June 30

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$36M Vol.

Weekly

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

March 15

Yes6%No94%

March 31

31%

Yes31%No69%

$19M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

chance

Yes

$29M Vol.

Monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

24%

chance

Yes

$14M Vol.

Monthly

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

100%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

March 15

Yes5%No95%

March 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

$3M Vol.

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

UAE

19%

Yes19%No81%

Saudi Arabia

18%

Yes18%No82%

$6M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

March 31

Yes2%No98%

June 30

17%

Yes17%No83%

$7M Vol.

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by...? card icon

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

<1%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu

60%

Yes60%No40%

Naftali Bennett

25%

Yes25%No75%

$2M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

34%

chance

Yes

$9M Vol.

Monthly

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

March 15

Yes9%No91%

March 31

47%

Yes47%No53%

$1M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

13%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

60%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Yes7%No93%

23%

Yes23%No77%

$2M Vol.

Daily

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

40%

Yes40%No60%

Reza Pahlavi

17%

Yes17%No83%

$2M Vol.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

13%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Daily

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

March 13

12%

Yes12%No88%

March 16

21%

Yes21%No79%

NEW

$116K Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

March 31

Yes1%No99%

December 31

11%

Yes11%No89%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

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Middle East

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

March 31

100%

Yes100%No<1%

June 30

100%

Yes100%No<1%

$36M Vol.

Weekly

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

March 15

Yes6%No94%

March 31

31%

Yes31%No69%

$19M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

chance

Yes

$29M Vol.

Monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

24%

chance

Yes

$14M Vol.

Monthly

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

100%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

March 15

Yes5%No95%

March 31

30%

Yes30%No70%

$3M Vol.

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

UAE

19%

Yes19%No81%

Saudi Arabia

18%

Yes18%No82%

$6M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

March 31

Yes2%No98%

June 30

17%

Yes17%No83%

$7M Vol.

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

<1%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu

60%

Yes60%No40%

Naftali Bennett

25%

Yes25%No75%

$2M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

34%

chance

Yes

$9M Vol.

Monthly

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

March 15

Yes9%No91%

March 31

47%

Yes47%No53%

$1M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

13%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

60%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Yes7%No93%

23%

Yes23%No77%

$2M Vol.

Daily

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

40%

Yes40%No60%

Reza Pahlavi

17%

Yes17%No83%

$2M Vol.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

13%

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Monthly

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Daily

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

March 13

12%

Yes12%No88%

March 16

21%

Yes21%No79%

NEW

$116K Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

March 31

Yes1%No99%

December 31

11%

Yes11%No89%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Middle East Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Middle East

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Middle East

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?