Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

25 bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

$117K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

55%

chance

Yes

$76K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

31%

chance

Yes

$41K Vol.

Quebec General Election Winner

63%

Yes63%No37%

PLQ

26%

Yes26%No74%

$186K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

chance

Yes

$34K Vol.

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

16%

chance

Yes

$29K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

43%

chance

Yes

$31K Vol.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

67%

chance

Yes

$91K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

24%

chance

Yes

$96K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

chance

Yes

$20K Vol.

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

≤6.2%

Yes8%No92%

6.3%

22%

Yes22%No78%

NEW

Monthly

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Avi Lewis

87%

Yes87%No13%

Heather McPherson

12%

Yes12%No88%

$15K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

10%

chance

Yes

$66K Vol.

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

15%

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Alberta join the US?

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0%

14%

Yes14%No86%

1.0–1.4%

13%

Yes13%No87%

NEW

Daily

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↑1.50

34%

Yes34%No66%

↑1.45

51%

Yes51%No49%

NEW

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

41%

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

50%

Down

NEW

All

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Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

25 bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

$117K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

55%

chance

Yes

$76K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

31%

chance

Yes

$41K Vol.

Quebec General Election Winner

63%

Yes63%No37%

PLQ

26%

Yes26%No74%

$186K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

chance

Yes

$34K Vol.

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

16%

chance

Yes

$29K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

43%

chance

Yes

$31K Vol.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

67%

chance

Yes

$91K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

24%

chance

Yes

$96K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

chance

Yes

$20K Vol.

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

≤6.2%

Yes8%No92%

6.3%

22%

Yes22%No78%

NEW

Monthly

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Avi Lewis

87%

Yes87%No13%

Heather McPherson

12%

Yes12%No88%

$15K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

10%

chance

Yes

$66K Vol.

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

15%

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Alberta join the US?

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0%

14%

Yes14%No86%

1.0–1.4%

13%

Yes13%No87%

NEW

Daily

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↑1.50

34%

Yes34%No66%

↑1.45

51%

Yes51%No49%

NEW

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

41%

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

50%

Down

NEW

Canada Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Canada recession before 2027?

Quebec General Election Winner

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Alberta join the US?

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Canada recession before 2027?

Quebec General Election Winner

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Alberta join the US?

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?