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Space

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? card icon

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$644K Vol.

NASA Artemis II card icon

NASA Artemis II

April 30

61%

YesNo

March 31

1%

YesNo

$589K Vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

86%

YesNo

Anthropic

7%

YesNo

$571K Vol.

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch? card icon

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$5M

73%

YesNo

$15M

38%

YesNo

$330K Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) card icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

2.0T+

53%

YesNo

1.8T–2.0T

19%

YesNo

$320K Vol.

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

5-6

40%

YesNo

<5

23%

YesNo

$313K Vol.

Daily
5kt meteor strike in 2026? card icon

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

39%

chance

Yes

No

$239K Vol.

Daily
Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

32%

chance

Yes

No

$177K Vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? card icon

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

20%

chance

Yes

No

$123K Vol.

Daily
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? card icon

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$120K Vol.

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? card icon

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$91K Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-159

32%

YesNo

160-179

31%

YesNo

$59K Vol.

SpaceX IPO by ___ ? card icon

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

December 31

88%

YesNo

September 30

80%

YesNo

$55K Vol.

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? card icon

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

89%

SpaceX

SpaceX

OpenAI

$44K Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in March? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in March?

12 or more

96%

YesNo

11

2%

YesNo

$25K Vol.

100kt meteor strike in 2026? card icon

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

NEW

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? card icon

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

87%

SpaceX

SpaceX

OpenAI

NEW

All

96

Temperature

45

Precipitation

2

Global

10

Tornadoes

2

Hurricanes

6

Earthquakes

12

Volcanoes

2

Pandemics

9

Space

17

Space

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? card icon

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$644K Vol.

NASA Artemis II card icon

NASA Artemis II

April 30

61%

YesNo

March 31

1%

YesNo

$589K Vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

86%

YesNo

Anthropic

7%

YesNo

$571K Vol.

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch? card icon

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$5M

73%

YesNo

$15M

38%

YesNo

$330K Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) card icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

2.0T+

53%

YesNo

1.8T–2.0T

19%

YesNo

$320K Vol.

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

5-6

40%

YesNo

<5

23%

YesNo

$313K Vol.

Daily
5kt meteor strike in 2026? card icon

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

39%

chance

Yes

No

$239K Vol.

Daily
Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

32%

chance

Yes

No

$177K Vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? card icon

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

20%

chance

Yes

No

$123K Vol.

Daily
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? card icon

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$120K Vol.

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? card icon

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$91K Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-159

32%

YesNo

160-179

31%

YesNo

$59K Vol.

SpaceX IPO by ___ ? card icon

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

December 31

88%

YesNo

September 30

80%

YesNo

$55K Vol.

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? card icon

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

89%

SpaceX

SpaceX

OpenAI

$44K Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in March? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in March?

12 or more

96%

YesNo

11

2%

YesNo

$25K Vol.

100kt meteor strike in 2026? card icon

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

NEW

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? card icon

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

87%

SpaceX

SpaceX

OpenAI

NEW

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