Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disasters·Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

32%

$180K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

6

Ends in 10 months

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Natural Disasters·Science

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

48%

1

$564K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Natural Disasters·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

$35.8K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 9 - March 15?
Natural Disasters·Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 9 - March 15?

88%

0

$281K Vol.

$55.9K today

$36.3K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
Natural Disasters·Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

40%

8+

$1M Vol.

$45.0K Liq.

20

Ends in 4 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
Natural Disasters·Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

91%

150+

$48.5K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Natural Disasters·Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

32%

11–13

$786K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Natural Disasters·Science

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

39%

$270K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 10 months

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Natural Disasters·Science

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

96%

May 31

$19.1K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Natural Disasters·Science

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

6%

$517K Vol.

$48.7K Liq.

26

Ends in 10 months

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Natural Disasters·Science

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10%

$144K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

6

Ends in 10 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
Natural Disasters·Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

36%

1250+

$20.3K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 months

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
Natural Disasters·Politics

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

86%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$289K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

46

MegaETH airdrop by...?
Natural Disasters·Crypto

MegaETH airdrop by...?

63%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

106

Ends in 4 months

Megaquake by June 30?
Natural Disasters·Weather

Megaquake by June 30?

25%

$20.0K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Megaquake by March 31?
Natural Disasters·Weather

Megaquake by March 31?

7%

$100K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 16 - March 22?
Natural Disasters·Earthquake

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 16 - March 22?

53%

0

$3.7K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Natural Disasters·SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$91.2K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 10 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Natural Disasters·SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

18%

$124K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Natural Disasters·SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

36%

$248K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Natural Disasters.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Natural Disasters that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Natural Disasters predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.