U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
El Mencho·Politics

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

92%

March 31

$1M Vol.

$47.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
El Mencho·Mexico

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

29%

Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez

$0 Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

2

US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?
El Mencho·Politics

US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?

11%

$13.3K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

Levante UD vs. Elche CF - More Markets
El Mencho·Sports

Levante UD vs. Elche CF - More Markets

-

$88.3K Vol.

Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets
El Mencho·Sports

Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets

-

$433K Vol.

Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF
El Mencho·Sports

Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF

73%

Real Madrid CF

$277K Vol.

$181K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
El Mencho·Crypto

Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?

74%

December 31, 2026

$74.4K Vol.

$117 Liq.

30

Ends in 10 months

Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca
El Mencho·Sports

Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca

46%

Elche CF

$98 Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?
El Mencho·Politics

Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31?

3%

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How many seats will Partido Popular win in the Castilla y Leon election?
El Mencho·Politics

How many seats will Partido Popular win in the Castilla y Leon election?

60%

28-31

$23.7K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

3

Ends in about 9 hours

Castilla y Leon Regional Election Winner
El Mencho·Politics

Castilla y Leon Regional Election Winner

95%

PP

$251K Vol.

$38.4K Liq.

6

Ends in about 9 hours

Rainbow Six Siege: Maestro Esca vs Giggioletti (BO3) - Europe MENA League Challenger Series Playoffs
El Mencho·Sports

Rainbow Six Siege: Maestro Esca vs Giggioletti (BO3) - Europe MENA League Challenger Series Playoffs

51%

Maestro Esca

$554 Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
El Mencho·Politics

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

62%

Not revealed in 2026

$8.7K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
El Mencho·Politics

Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?

3%

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD
El Mencho·Sports

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD

56%

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

$4.4K Vol.

$760K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Looking For Laburo (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Group Stage
El Mencho·Sports

Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Looking For Laburo (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Group Stage

80%

KRÜ Blaze

$10 Vol.

$438 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Valorant: Leviatán GC vs Polar Squad Esports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Group Stage
El Mencho·Sports

Valorant: Leviatán GC vs Polar Squad Esports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Group Stage

65%

Leviatán GC

$0 Vol.

$481 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)
El Mencho·Sports

Rocket League: Germany vs Chile (BO2)

Germany

$2.8K Vol.

$0 Liq.

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)
El Mencho·Politics

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)

96%

Hormuz

$2.3K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
El Mencho·Politics

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

17%

$23.9K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like El Mencho.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for El Mencho that lets you track or trade on predictions like “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 30% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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