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Elections·Italian

Selvazzano Dentro By-Election Winner

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Elections·Italian

Selvazzano Dentro By-Election Winner

Giulio Centenaro 96.4%

Antonino Stivanello 2.5%

Mario Adinolfi <1%

Andrea Paccagnella <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Giulio Centenaro 96.4%

Antonino Stivanello 2.5%

Mario Adinolfi <1%

Andrea Paccagnella <1%

Polymarket
NEW
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Giulio Centenaro

$1,115 Vol.

96%

Market icon

Antonino Stivanello

$241 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mario Adinolfi

$409 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrea Paccagnella

$528 Vol.

1%

A by-election for a seat from the Selvazzano Dentro constituency (Veneto 2 - 02) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Massimo Bitonci as Regional Assessor for Business and Commerce of the Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - 02) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).A by-election for a seat from the Selvazzano Dentro constituency (Veneto 2 - 02) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Massimo Bitonci as Regional Assessor for Business and Commerce of the Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - 02) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).A by-election for a seat from the Selvazzano Dentro constituency (Veneto 2 - 02) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Massimo Bitonci as Regional Assessor for Business and Commerce of the Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - 02) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).A by-election for a seat from the Selvazzano Dentro constituency (Veneto 2 - 02) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Massimo Bitonci as Regional Assessor for Business and Commerce of the Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - 02) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).

A by-election for a seat from the Selvazzano Dentro constituency (Veneto 2 - 02) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Massimo Bitonci as Regional Assessor for Business and Commerce of the Veneto Region.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - 02) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
Volume
$2,292
End Date
Mar 23, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 11:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Selvazzano Dentro constituency (Veneto 2 - 02) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Massimo Bitonci as Regional Assessor for Business and Commerce of the Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - 02) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
A by-election for a seat from the Selvazzano Dentro constituency (Veneto 2 - 02) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Massimo Bitonci as Regional Assessor for Business and Commerce of the Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - 02) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).A by-election for a seat from the Selvazzano Dentro constituency (Veneto 2 - 02) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Massimo Bitonci as Regional Assessor for Business and Commerce of the Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - 02) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).A by-election for a seat from the Selvazzano Dentro constituency (Veneto 2 - 02) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Massimo Bitonci as Regional Assessor for Business and Commerce of the Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - 02) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).A by-election for a seat from the Selvazzano Dentro constituency (Veneto 2 - 02) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Massimo Bitonci as Regional Assessor for Business and Commerce of the Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Selvazzano Dentro (Veneto 2 - 02) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).

Giulio Centenaro's commanding 96.5% implied probability in the Selvazzano Dentro by-election stems from his centre-right coalition's longstanding municipal dominance in the Veneto comune, bolstered by recent local polls showing him ahead by over 70 points amid low expected turnout for the council seat contest. Trader consensus reflects the frontrunner's incumbency advantage and fragmented opposition, with Antonino Stivanello's centre-left bid trailing due to limited mobilization. Historical by-election patterns in similar small Italian municipalities favor established parties. Realistic challenges include a late opposition endorsement surge, unexpected abstention shifts boosting challengers, or procedural disputes, though primary sources indicate scant momentum for upsets ahead of voting.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Selvazzano Dentro By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Giulio Centenaro" at 96%, followed by "Antonino Stivanello" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Selvazzano Dentro By-Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Selvazzano Dentro By-Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Selvazzano Dentro By-Election Winner" is "Giulio Centenaro" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Antonino Stivanello" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Selvazzano Dentro By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.