Trader sentiment for the 2026 AL Cy Young hinges on the razor-thin duel between George Kirby and Tarik Skubal, both hovering near 24% implied probability after stellar 2024 campaigns—Skubal's Cy Young-winning dominance and Kirby's pinpoint control yielding elite ERAs under 3.00. This tightness reflects AL pitching parity, with young Mariners arms like Bryan Woo and Bryce Miller (9.6% and 5.5%) bolstering Seattle's rotation depth, while injury recoveries for Jacob deGrom (11.5%) and Garrett Crochet's innings ramp-up add volatility. Cross-league stars like Dylan Cease dilute odds but underscore uncertainty in trades, health, and team win totals shaping voter preferences amid rising strikeout artists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGeorge Kirby 23.7%
Tarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Tarik Skubal
24%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
8%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
10%
Logan Gilbert
3%
Kyle Bradish
2%
Joe Ryan
2%
Ranger Suarez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
14%
George Kirby
24%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
2%
MacKenzie Gore
5%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
4%
Bryce Miller
6%
Cam Schlittler
2%
Gerrit Cole
4%
George Kirby 23.7%
Tarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Tarik Skubal
24%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
8%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
10%
Logan Gilbert
3%
Kyle Bradish
2%
Joe Ryan
2%
Ranger Suarez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
14%
George Kirby
24%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
2%
MacKenzie Gore
5%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
4%
Bryce Miller
6%
Cam Schlittler
2%
Gerrit Cole
4%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the 2026 AL Cy Young hinges on the razor-thin duel between George Kirby and Tarik Skubal, both hovering near 24% implied probability after stellar 2024 campaigns—Skubal's Cy Young-winning dominance and Kirby's pinpoint control yielding elite ERAs under 3.00. This tightness reflects AL pitching parity, with young Mariners arms like Bryan Woo and Bryce Miller (9.6% and 5.5%) bolstering Seattle's rotation depth, while injury recoveries for Jacob deGrom (11.5%) and Garrett Crochet's innings ramp-up add volatility. Cross-league stars like Dylan Cease dilute odds but underscore uncertainty in trades, health, and team win totals shaping voter preferences amid rising strikeout artists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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