Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors César Dockweiler (57.9%) as the frontrunner in Bolivia's La Paz mayoral election, driven by consistent polling leads from recent surveys showing him ahead by 20-30 points among undecided voters in the capital's urban districts. As Comunidad Ciudadana's candidate, Dockweiler benefits from anti-incumbent sentiment against the ruling MAS party's Miguel Roca (13.2%), amid economic grievances and infrastructure complaints under prior administrations. Waldo Albarracín (5.7%) draws niche support from centrists, while lower-tier candidates like Xavier Iturralde and Iván Arias trail due to fragmented opposition votes. Recent developments include Dockweiler's endorsements from business leaders and a televised debate where he outperformed rivals, boosting his implied probability; markets await final pre-election polls and turnout data ahead of voting day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLa Paz Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)
La Paz Mayoral Election Winner (Bolivia)
César Dockweiler 55.4%
Miguel Roca 13.2%
Waldo Albarracín 5.5%
Iván Arias 4.1%
$1,702,451 Vol.
$1,702,451 Vol.

César Dockweiler
55%

Miguel Roca
13%

Waldo Albarracín
6%

Iván Arias
4%

Xavier Iturralde
4%

Jhonny Plata
3%

Carlos Eduardo Palenque
2%

Rodrigo Rivera
2%

Óscar Sogliano
2%

Alejandro Reyes
1%

Paul Coca
1%

Pierre Chain
<1%
César Dockweiler 55.4%
Miguel Roca 13.2%
Waldo Albarracín 5.5%
Iván Arias 4.1%
$1,702,451 Vol.
$1,702,451 Vol.

César Dockweiler
55%

Miguel Roca
13%

Waldo Albarracín
6%

Iván Arias
4%

Xavier Iturralde
4%

Jhonny Plata
3%

Carlos Eduardo Palenque
2%

Rodrigo Rivera
2%

Óscar Sogliano
2%

Alejandro Reyes
1%

Paul Coca
1%

Pierre Chain
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors César Dockweiler (57.9%) as the frontrunner in Bolivia's La Paz mayoral election, driven by consistent polling leads from recent surveys showing him ahead by 20-30 points among undecided voters in the capital's urban districts. As Comunidad Ciudadana's candidate, Dockweiler benefits from anti-incumbent sentiment against the ruling MAS party's Miguel Roca (13.2%), amid economic grievances and infrastructure complaints under prior administrations. Waldo Albarracín (5.7%) draws niche support from centrists, while lower-tier candidates like Xavier Iturralde and Iván Arias trail due to fragmented opposition votes. Recent developments include Dockweiler's endorsements from business leaders and a televised debate where he outperformed rivals, boosting his implied probability; markets await final pre-election polls and turnout data ahead of voting day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions