Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) dominates trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for the Chamber of Representatives election winner, driven by official results from the recent legislative leadership vote where PH's candidate secured a commanding majority through coalition support in the 188-seat body. Key factors include PH's strategic alliances with centro-left parties, overcoming fragmented opposition from Centro Democrático and Liberals, amid President Petro's push for agenda control. Recent developments, like the plenary session confirmation without major challenges, solidify this position. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim but could involve court-mandated recounts or defection of allied lawmakers before final certification, though historical precedents favor stability in such votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedColombia Chamber of Representatives Election Winner
Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election Winner
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) 99.6%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) <1%
Centro Democrático (CD) <1%
Cambio Radical (CR) <1%
$5,244,663 Vol.
$5,244,663 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
100%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
<1%
Centro Democrático (CD)
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
<1%
Green Alliance
<1%
Partido de la U (La U)
<1%
MIRA‑CJL coalition (MIRA‑CJL)
<1%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) 99.6%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) <1%
Centro Democrático (CD) <1%
Cambio Radical (CR) <1%
$5,244,663 Vol.
$5,244,663 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
$373,877 Vol.
100%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
$153,162 Vol.
<1%
Centro Democrático (CD)
$183,395 Vol.
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
$2,297,752 Vol.
<1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
$157,380 Vol.
<1%
Green Alliance
$30,558 Vol.
<1%
Partido de la U (La U)
$973,140 Vol.
<1%
MIRA‑CJL coalition (MIRA‑CJL)
$1,075,404 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Volume
$5,244,663End Date
Mar 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$5,244,663End Date
Mar 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) dominates trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for the Chamber of Representatives election winner, driven by official results from the recent legislative leadership vote where PH's candidate secured a commanding majority through coalition support in the 188-seat body. Key factors include PH's strategic alliances with centro-left parties, overcoming fragmented opposition from Centro Democrático and Liberals, amid President Petro's push for agenda control. Recent developments, like the plenary session confirmation without major challenges, solidify this position. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim but could involve court-mandated recounts or defection of allied lawmakers before final certification, though historical precedents favor stability in such votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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