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Trump won, now what?

Trump and crew

Promises & policies

What do the first few months in office look like?

Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
2%chance
0.1%
December 31
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
11%chance
1%
Belarus
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
1%chance
0.3%
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
29%chance
0.5%
Trump impeached by end of 2026?
13%chance
1%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
7%chance
0%
Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
8%chance
0.2%
June 30
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
16%chance
3.5%
June 30
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
45%chance
4.5%
↑ 44%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
23%chance
3%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
2%chance
0.1%
December 31
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
11%chance
1%
Belarus
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
1%chance
0.3%
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
29%chance
0.5%
Trump impeached by end of 2026?
13%chance
1%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
7%chance
0%
Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
8%chance
0.2%
June 30
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
16%chance
3.5%
June 30
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
45%chance
4.5%
↑ 44%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
23%chance
3%
Candidate icon

What else is in store for the Trump presidency?

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