Elon Musk Odds &amp; Predictions | Polymarket

$211K Vol.

Monthly

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Goldman Sachs

56%

Yes56%No44%

Morgan Stanley

39%

Yes39%No61%

$692K Vol.

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

March 31

June 30

62%

Yes62%No38%

$52K Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

<1%

500B–600B

<1%

$2M Vol.

Elon Musk Net Worth on March 31?

<640b

24%

Yes24%No76%

640-650b

Yes7%No93%

$153K Vol.

Monthly

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk

92%

Yes92%No8%

Larry Page

Yes2%No98%

$401K Vol.

Monthly

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

March 31

April 7

28%

$1M Vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

86%

Yes86%No14%

Anthropic

Yes8%No92%

$543K Vol.

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Woody Allen

19%

Yes19%No81%

Richard Branson

17%

Yes17%No83%

$705K Vol.

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

<350k

81%

Yes81%No19%

350k–375k

11%

Yes11%No89%

$423K Vol.

Daily

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

23%

Yes23%No77%

5-6

41%

Yes41%No59%

$90K Vol.

Daily

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

91%

Yes91%No9%

>$1.2T

84%

Yes84%No16%

$556K Vol.

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

67%

chance

Yes

$370K Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

No IPO before 2028

Yes3%No97%

<1.0T

Yes6%No94%

$233K Vol.

3rd richest person on March 31?

Sergey Brin

58%

Yes58%No42%

Jeff Bezos

28%

$271K Vol.

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

34%

chance

Yes

$26K Vol.

Grok 5 released by...?

March 31, 2026

June 30, 2026

65%

Yes65%No35%

$236K Vol.

Another Elon baby by June 30?

24%

chance

Yes

$46K Vol.

All

Elon Musk

App Store

SpaceX

Apple

IPOs

Science

OpenAI

MicroStrategy

Big Tech

TikTok

Prediction Markets

Elon Musk

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

44%

Yes44%No56%

$STAR

18%

Yes18%No82%

$2M Vol.

Richest person on March 31?

Elon Musk

99%

Yes99%No1%

Jeff Bezos

$211K Vol.

Monthly

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Goldman Sachs

56%

Yes56%No44%

Morgan Stanley

39%

Yes39%No61%

$692K Vol.

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

March 31

June 30

62%

Yes62%No38%

$52K Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

<1%

500B–600B

<1%

$2M Vol.

Elon Musk Net Worth on March 31?

<640b

24%

Yes24%No76%

640-650b

Yes7%No93%

$153K Vol.

Monthly

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk

92%

Yes92%No8%

Larry Page

Yes2%No98%

$401K Vol.

Monthly

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

March 31

April 7

28%

$1M Vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

86%

Yes86%No14%

Anthropic

Yes8%No92%

$543K Vol.

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Woody Allen

19%

Yes19%No81%

Richard Branson

17%

Yes17%No83%

$705K Vol.

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

<350k

81%

Yes81%No19%

350k–375k

11%

Yes11%No89%

$423K Vol.

Daily

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

23%

Yes23%No77%

5-6

41%

Yes41%No59%

$90K Vol.

Daily

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

91%

Yes91%No9%

>$1.2T

84%

Yes84%No16%

$556K Vol.

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

chance

Yes

$3M Vol.

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

67%

chance

Yes

$370K Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

No IPO before 2028

Yes3%No97%

<1.0T

Yes6%No94%

$233K Vol.

3rd richest person on March 31?

Sergey Brin

58%

Yes58%No42%

Jeff Bezos

28%

$271K Vol.

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

34%

chance

Yes

$26K Vol.

Grok 5 released by...?

March 31, 2026