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2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Market icon

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Carlos Alcaraz 41%

Jannik Sinner 34%

Arthur Fils 6.0%

Ben Shelton 4.3%

Polymarket

$152,351 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 41%

Jannik Sinner 34%

Arthur Fils 6.0%

Ben Shelton 4.3%

Polymarket

$152,351 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$1,288 Vol.

41%

Jannik Sinner

$1,041 Vol.

34%

Arthur Fils

$1,380 Vol.

6%

Ben Shelton

$37,846 Vol.

4%

Alexander Zverev

$12,086 Vol.

4%

Novak Djokovic

$48,011 Vol.

3%

Daniil Medvedev

$712 Vol.

2%

Joao Fonseca

$929 Vol.

2%

Jack Draper

$598 Vol.

2%

Jakub Mensik

$22,227 Vol.

2%

Taylor Fritz

$800 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$18,396 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$761 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$685 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$753 Vol.

1%

Holger Rune

$637 Vol.

1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$709 Vol.

1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$705 Vol.

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$688 Vol.

<1%

Frances Tiafoe

$714 Vol.

<1%

Andrey Rublev

$695 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Berrettini

$690 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$152,351
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 41%, followed by "Jannik Sinner" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $152.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.